Analysis of the policy of operation activity of an enterprise with product reservation

This paper examines the process of operative planning production an industrial company under conditions random fluctuations in current demand. It is shown that these there are losses, size which depends on adopted policy operation activity. The activity understood as rule making decisions volumes based information about incoming orders, probable future demand, and possible losses due to deviation capacity load from normative one. In paper, it proposed assess effectiveness each using indicator limit average economic effect per unit time for infinite number periods. An original approach assessing with product reservation was developed. when this policy, "overstock" chains successive select initial reserve so probability completion chain a given periods should be close unity. Such creates opportunity determine expected various types and, result, general. assessment form dependence values cost indicators obtained. Comparison similar fulfilling orders allowed finding condition more profitable. involves ensuring magnitude associated stock storage does not exceed half sum downtime excess load.